Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.036911 0.042833 0.049405 0.057242 0.066336 0.076561 0.088938
2025-12-21 0.027055 0.034633 0.043902 0.056080 0.071677 0.091012 0.116845
2025-12-28 0.022118 0.030522 0.041592 0.057262 0.078915 0.107846 0.149565
2026-01-04 0.018525 0.027184 0.039307 0.057547 0.084372 0.122497 0.181036
2026-01-11 0.015863 0.024542 0.037347 0.057656 0.089172 0.136416 0.213011
2026-01-18 0.013990 0.022688 0.036133 0.058483 0.094871 0.152077 0.249443
2026-01-25 0.012641 0.021398 0.035521 0.060024 0.101702 0.170135 0.291899
2026-02-01 0.010905 0.019197 0.033101 0.058190 0.102614 0.178521 0.319216
2026-02-08 0.009709 0.017731 0.031678 0.057789 0.105793 0.190942 0.354934
2026-02-15 0.008674 0.016396 0.030289 0.057212 0.108493 0.202713 0.390850
2026-02-22 0.007996 0.015618 0.029782 0.058148 0.114029 0.220200 0.439632
2026-03-01 0.007242 0.014591 0.028674 0.057771 0.116954 0.233033 0.480923
2026-03-08 0.006438 0.013374 0.027078 0.056280 0.117587 0.241684 0.515444
2026-03-15 0.005719 0.012239 0.025505 0.054634 0.117696 0.249310 0.548956
2026-03-22 0.005345 0.011776 0.025240 0.055681 0.123586 0.269606 0.612452
2026-03-29 0.004942 0.011193 0.024649 0.055936 0.127768 0.286736 0.671223
2026-04-05 0.004569 0.010630 0.024029 0.056037 0.131601 0.303534 0.731484
2026-04-12 0.004287 0.010237 0.023734 0.056839 0.137137 0.324846 0.805303
2026-04-19 0.004078 0.009989 0.023737 0.058336 0.144503 0.351306 0.895278
2026-04-26 0.003678 0.009228 0.022452 0.056555 0.143649 0.357999 0.936692
2026-05-03 0.003403 0.008742 0.021764 0.056165 0.146217 0.373384 1.002575
2026-05-10 0.003144 0.008266 0.021046 0.055604 0.148272 0.387719 1.067667
2026-05-17 0.002986 0.008029 0.020900 0.056513 0.154299 0.413022 1.165997